SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 40.15%. A win for Gloucester City had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Gloucester City win was 1-0 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fylde would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gloucester City | Draw | Fylde |
34.48% ( 1.41) | 25.36% ( -0.12) | 40.15% ( -1.28) |
| Both teams to score 56.18% ( 0.79) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.43% ( 0.86) | 47.57% ( -0.86) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.22% ( 0.79) | 69.77% ( -0.79) |
| Gloucester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.41% ( 1.28) | 26.59% ( -1.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.19% ( 1.66) | 61.81% ( -1.66) |
| Fylde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.52% ( -0.26) | 23.47% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.5% ( -0.38) | 57.5% ( 0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gloucester City | Draw | Fylde |
| 1-0 @ 8.27% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.94% ( 0.23)2-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 3.5% ( 0.22)3-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.14)3-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.17)4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.11)Other @ 3.18% Total : 34.48% | 1-1 @ 11.98% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.23)2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.36% | 0-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.4) 1-2 @ 8.68% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 6.56% ( -0.34)1-3 @ 4.2% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.19)2-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.08)2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.06% Total : 40.15% |
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