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National League North | Gameweek 25
Dec 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
Mill Farm Stadium
C

Fylde
1 - 2
Chorley

FT(HT: 1-1)
Hall (7'), Ustabasi (84')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Fylde and Chorley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gloucester City 1-2 Fylde
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 1-1 Chorley
Tuesday, December 6 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 57.02%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Chorley had a probability of 19.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Chorley win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
FyldeDrawChorley
57.02% (0.39400000000001 0.39) 23.58% (-0.089000000000002 -0.09) 19.4% (-0.308 -0.31)
Both teams to score 49% (-0.22199999999999 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.13% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)50.86% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.25% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)72.74% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Fylde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.37% (0.128 0.13)17.63% (-0.13 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.77% (0.223 0.22)48.22% (-0.225 -0.23)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.49% (-0.363 -0.36)40.51% (0.36 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.88% (-0.331 -0.33)77.11% (0.327 0.33)
Score Analysis
    Fylde 57.01%
    Chorley 19.4%
    Draw 23.58%
FyldeDrawChorley
1-0 @ 12.39% (0.07 0.07)
2-0 @ 10.75% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.72% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 6.22% (0.088 0.09)
3-1 @ 5.62% (0.024 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.7% (0.049 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.44% (0.021 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 0.94% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 57.01%
1-1 @ 11.2% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.14% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.39% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 23.58%
0-1 @ 6.45% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-2 @ 5.06% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-2 @ 2.92% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.52% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.32% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 19.4%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Gloucester City 1-2 Fylde
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in National League North
Last Game: Fylde 2-0 Alfreton
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Fylde 4-1 Boston
Tuesday, November 22 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Gillingham 1-0 Fylde
Tuesday, November 15 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Darlington 1-2 Fylde
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Fylde 1-1 Gillingham
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Hereford 1-1 Chorley
Tuesday, December 6 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Chorley 3-0 Curzon Ashton
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Banbury 3-0 Chorley
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chorley 2-0 Kettering
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chorley 2-0 Spennymoor
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Southport 2-1 Chorley
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in National League North


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