Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 57.02%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Chorley had a probability of 19.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Chorley win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Fylde | Draw | Chorley |
57.02% ( 0.39) | 23.58% ( -0.09) | 19.4% ( -0.31) |
Both teams to score 49% ( -0.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.13% ( -0.04) | 50.86% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.25% ( -0.04) | 72.74% ( 0.04) |
Fylde Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.37% ( 0.13) | 17.63% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.77% ( 0.22) | 48.22% ( -0.23) |
Chorley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.49% ( -0.36) | 40.51% ( 0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.88% ( -0.33) | 77.11% ( 0.33) |
Score Analysis |
Fylde | Draw | Chorley |
1-0 @ 12.39% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 10.75% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 5.62% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.44% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.58% Total : 57.01% | 1-1 @ 11.2% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.85% Total : 23.58% | 0-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.12% Total : 19.4% |
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