Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 56.7%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Chester FC had a probability of 20.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Chester FC win it was 0-1 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Kidderminster Harriers | Draw | Chester FC |
56.7% ( 0.35) | 23.25% ( -0.04) | 20.05% ( -0.32) |
Both teams to score 51.01% ( -0.38) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.29% ( -0.25) | 48.71% ( 0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.18% ( -0.23) | 70.82% ( 0.23) |
Kidderminster Harriers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.03% ( 0.03) | 16.97% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.94% ( 0.06) | 47.06% ( -0.06) |
Chester FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.43% ( -0.48) | 38.57% ( 0.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.68% ( -0.46) | 75.31% ( 0.46) |
Score Analysis |
Kidderminster Harriers | Draw | Chester FC |
1-0 @ 11.6% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 10.29% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 5.8% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 1.97% Total : 56.69% | 1-1 @ 11.05% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.98% Total : 23.24% | 0-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.48% Total : 20.05% |
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