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National League North | Gameweek 37
Apr 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
AT

Chorley
1 - 2
Alfreton

Blyth (27' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ceesay (51'), Hobson (63')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chorley and Alfreton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spennymoor 2-0 Chorley
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 2-1 Guiseley
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 70.26%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 11.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.21%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.64%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 0-1 (3.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
ChorleyDrawAlfreton Town
70.26%18.16%11.58%
Both teams to score 47.82%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.27%42.72%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.87%65.13%
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.05%10.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.83%35.17%
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.7%46.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.05%81.95%
Score Analysis
    Chorley 70.26%
    Alfreton Town 11.58%
    Draw 18.16%
ChorleyDrawAlfreton Town
2-0 @ 12.4%
1-0 @ 11.21%
2-1 @ 9.55%
3-0 @ 9.14%
3-1 @ 7.04%
4-0 @ 5.06%
4-1 @ 3.89%
3-2 @ 2.71%
5-0 @ 2.24%
5-1 @ 1.72%
4-2 @ 1.5%
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 70.26%
1-1 @ 8.64%
0-0 @ 5.07%
2-2 @ 3.68%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 18.16%
0-1 @ 3.9%
1-2 @ 3.33%
0-2 @ 1.5%
2-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 11.58%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Chorley 2-2 York City
Tuesday, April 12 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Bradford Park Av 0-0 Chorley
Saturday, April 9 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chorley 2-1 Boston
Tuesday, April 5 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Chorley 2-0 Guiseley
Saturday, April 2 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Kettering 2-1 Chorley
Saturday, March 26 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Kidderminster 1-1 Chorley
Tuesday, March 22 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 0-0 Darlington
Saturday, April 9 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Kidderminster 0-1 Alfreton
Tuesday, April 5 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 1-2 Alfreton
Saturday, April 2 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 2-2 Southport
Saturday, March 26 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 1-0 Alfreton
Tuesday, March 22 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Fylde 3-0 Alfreton
Saturday, March 19 at 3pm in National League North


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