Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 38.46%. A win for York City had a probability of 35.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest York City win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.
