SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 40.53%. A win for Kidderminster Harriers had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Kidderminster Harriers win was 0-1 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Buxton | Draw | Kidderminster Harriers |
40.53% ( 0.03) | 26.16% ( -0) | 33.3% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 53.21% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.72% ( 0) | 51.27% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.89% ( 0) | 73.1% ( -0.01) |
| Buxton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.06% ( 0.02) | 24.93% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.43% ( 0.03) | 59.56% ( -0.03) |
| Kidderminster Harriers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.88% ( -0.02) | 29.11% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.96% ( -0.03) | 65.04% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Buxton | Draw | Kidderminster Harriers |
| 1-0 @ 10.08% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.64% ( 0)2-0 @ 7% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.24% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.47% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.39% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0)Other @ 2.58% Total : 40.53% | 1-1 @ 12.44% 0-0 @ 7.26% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.33% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.16% | 0-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.68% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.16% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.27% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 2.55% Total : 33.3% |
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