Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Kidderminster Harriers had a probability of 35.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Kidderminster Harriers win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
