SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 48.36%. A win for Blyth Spartans had a probability of 25.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-2 (8.98%). The likeliest Blyth Spartans win was 1-0 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Blyth Spartans | Draw | Chorley |
25.84% ( 0) | 25.79% ( 0.01) | 48.36% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 50.21% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.79% ( -0.03) | 53.21% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.23% ( -0.02) | 74.77% ( 0.03) |
| Blyth Spartans Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.38% ( -0.01) | 35.61% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.61% ( -0.01) | 72.38% ( 0.02) |
| Chorley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.98% ( -0.01) | 22.01% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.67% ( -0.03) | 55.33% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Blyth Spartans | Draw | Chorley |
| 1-0 @ 8.09% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.32% 2-0 @ 4.18% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.18% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.65% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.44% Other @ 1.98% Total : 25.84% | 1-1 @ 12.25% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0)Other @ 0.92% Total : 25.79% | 0-1 @ 11.86% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.27% ( -0)0-2 @ 8.98% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.68% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.53% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.77% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.71% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.23% Total : 48.36% |
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