Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 48.36%. A win for Blyth Spartans had a probability of 25.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-2 (8.98%). The likeliest Blyth Spartans win was 1-0 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.
0) 
-0.01) 
