Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 70.4%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Southport had a probability of 11.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.65%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.69%), while for a Southport win it was 0-1 (3.97%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kidderminster Harriers would win this match.
