Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 67.02%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 12.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.16%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for an AFC Telford United win it was 0-1 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brackley Town would win this match.
