SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Weymouth win with a probability of 44.15%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 31.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Weymouth win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-2 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Weymouth would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Weymouth | Draw | Hemel Hempstead Town |
44.15% ( -0.28) | 24.66% ( -0.14) | 31.18% ( 0.43) |
| Both teams to score 57.43% ( 0.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.56% ( 0.83) | 45.44% ( -0.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.23% ( 0.78) | 67.77% ( -0.78) |
| Weymouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.34% ( 0.22) | 20.67% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.75% ( 0.34) | 53.25% ( -0.34) |
| Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.39% ( 0.69) | 27.61% ( -0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.86% ( 0.88) | 63.15% ( -0.88) |
| Score Analysis |
| Weymouth | Draw | Hemel Hempstead Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9% ( -0.26)2-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 4.8% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.89% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.75% Total : 44.15% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.1)0-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.2)3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.66% | 1-2 @ 7.45% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 7.34% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.9% Total : 31.18% |
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