SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 38.18%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 35.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Albans City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Albans City | Draw | Chelmsford City |
38.18% ( -0.13) | 25.88% ( -0.07) | 35.93% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 54.61% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.32% ( 0.33) | 49.68% ( -0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.3% ( 0.3) | 71.69% ( -0.3) |
| St Albans City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.53% ( 0.08) | 25.46% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.7% ( 0.12) | 60.29% ( -0.12) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.26% ( 0.27) | 26.73% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.99% ( 0.36) | 62% ( -0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Albans City | Draw | Chelmsford City |
| 1-0 @ 9.31% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 8.4% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.83% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 2.53% Total : 38.18% | 1-1 @ 12.28% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.87% | 0-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.1% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.92% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.15% Total : 35.93% |
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