SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 44.27%. A win for Havant & Waterlooville had a probability of 32.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.3%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest Havant & Waterlooville win was 2-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Farnborough Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Havant & Waterlooville | Draw | Farnborough Town |
32.36% ( 0.67) | 23.37% ( 0.07) | 44.27% ( -0.73) |
| Both teams to score 62.62% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.13% ( -0.05) | 38.87% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.82% ( -0.05) | 61.18% ( 0.05) |
| Havant & Waterlooville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.31% ( 0.37) | 23.69% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.19% ( 0.52) | 57.81% ( -0.52) |
| Farnborough Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.06% ( -0.31) | 17.94% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.23% ( -0.54) | 48.77% ( 0.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| Havant & Waterlooville | Draw | Farnborough Town |
| 2-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 3.64% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.96% Total : 32.36% | 1-1 @ 10.51% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.51% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.36% | 1-2 @ 9.03% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 7.3% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 5.17% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 3.73% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.59% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 2.22% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.81% Total : 44.27% |
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