SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 47.74%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 28.27% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 2-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Farnborough Town |
28.27% ( 0.01) | 23.99% ( -0.01) | 47.74% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 57.95% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.04% ( 0.06) | 43.96% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.65% ( 0.06) | 66.35% ( -0.06) |
| Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.15% ( 0.03) | 28.85% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.29% ( 0.04) | 64.71% ( -0.04) |
| Farnborough Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.44% ( 0.03) | 18.56% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.19% ( 0.04) | 49.81% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Farnborough Town |
| 2-1 @ 6.97% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.14% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.89% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.71% ( 0)Other @ 3.48% Total : 28.27% | 1-1 @ 11.2% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.35% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.98% | 1-2 @ 9.44% 0-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 7.59% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.3% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.26% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.23% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.8% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.39% ( 0)Other @ 3.42% Total : 47.74% |
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