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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Nov 15, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
 
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Switzerland
4 - 0
Bulgaria

Okafor (48'), Vargas (57'), Itten (72'), Freuler (90+1')
Freuler (33'), Mbabu (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Turitsov (18'), Hristov (67')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Switzerland win with a probability of 65.32%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Bulgaria had a probability of 9.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Switzerland win was 1-0 with a probability of 22.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.83%) and 3-0 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.6%), while for a Bulgaria win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Switzerland would win this match.

Result
SwitzerlandDrawBulgaria
65.32%25.07%9.61%
Both teams to score 26.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
30.28%69.72%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
12.95%87.05%
Switzerland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.1%21.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.84%55.16%
Bulgaria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
33.33%66.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
6.3%93.7%
Score Analysis
    Switzerland 65.3%
    Bulgaria 9.61%
    Draw 25.07%
SwitzerlandDrawBulgaria
1-0 @ 22.17%
2-0 @ 16.83%
3-0 @ 8.52%
2-1 @ 6.83%
3-1 @ 3.46%
4-0 @ 3.24%
4-1 @ 1.31%
5-0 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 65.3%
0-0 @ 14.6%
1-1 @ 8.99%
2-2 @ 1.38%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.07%
0-1 @ 5.92%
1-2 @ 1.82%
0-2 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 9.61%

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