Italy
5 - 0
Lithuania

Kean (11', 29'), Utkus (14' og.), Raspadori (24'), Di Lorenzo (54')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Klimavicius (71')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Italy and Lithuania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how leaders Italy could line up for Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying Group C clash with winless Lithuania.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 69.8%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Lithuania had a probability of 6.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 1-0 with a probability of 23.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (18.88%) and 3-0 (9.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.02%), while for a Lithuania win it was 0-1 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Italy would win this match.

Result
Italy	Draw	Lithuania
69.8%	23.37%	6.84%

Both teams to score 21.2%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

29.51%

70.49%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

12.46%

87.55%

Italy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.52%

20.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.04%

52.96%

Lithuania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

26.66%

73.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

3.92%

96.08%

Score Analysis

Italy 69.79%

Lithuania 6.84%

Draw 23.37%

Italy	Draw	Lithuania
1-0 @ 23.81% 2-0 @ 18.88% 3-0 @ 9.98% 2-1 @ 5.86% 4-0 @ 3.96% 3-1 @ 3.1% 5-0 @ 1.26% 4-1 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.73% Total : 69.79%	0-0 @ 15.02% 1-1 @ 7.39% 2-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.05% Total : 23.37%	0-1 @ 4.66% 1-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.04% Total : 6.84%