While Norway swatted Slovenia aside when they last met, a subsequent thumping by Austria and an extensive list of defensive absentees will surely take its toll. Therefore, the spoils will be shared in Ljubljana, leaving both teams locked together on eight before Sunday's final round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovenia win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Norway had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovenia win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Norway win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
Slovenia	Draw	Norway
38.74% ( 1.92)	25.39% ( -0.15)	35.87% ( -1.77)

Both teams to score 56.3% (

0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.49% (

0.62)

47.51% (

-0.61)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.28% (

0.57)

69.72% (

-0.56)

Slovenia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.82% (

1.33)

24.18% (

-1.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.5% (

1.84)

58.5% (

-1.84)

Norway Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.25% (

-0.7)

25.75% (

0.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.31% (

-0.96)

60.69% (

0.97)

Score Analysis

Slovenia 38.74%

Norway 35.87%

Draw 25.39%

Slovenia	Draw	Norway
1-0 @ 8.84% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 8.51% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.31) 3-1 @ 4.03% ( 0.27) 3-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.25) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.15) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.13) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.08) Other @ 1.93% Total : 38.74%	1-1 @ 11.99% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.39%	0-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.4) 1-2 @ 8.14% ( -0.23) 0-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.39) 1-3 @ 3.68% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.23) 1-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.43% Total : 35.87%