SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 45.81%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 0-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ballymena United | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
45.81% ( -0.07) | 24.89% ( 0.04) | 29.31% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 55.63% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.67% ( -0.18) | 47.33% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.45% ( -0.16) | 69.55% ( 0.16) |
| Ballymena United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.29% ( -0.11) | 20.71% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.68% ( -0.16) | 53.32% ( 0.16) |
| Dungannon Swifts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.17% ( -0.07) | 29.83% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.09% ( -0.09) | 65.91% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ballymena United | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
| 1-0 @ 9.73% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.66% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.86% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.02% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.68% Total : 45.81% | 1-1 @ 11.76% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.88% | 0-1 @ 7.47% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.12% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.52% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.87% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.82% ( 0)Other @ 3.24% Total : 29.31% |
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