SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Cliftonville | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 11 | Dungannon Swifts | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 12 | Portadown | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Carrick Rangers | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Ballymena United | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Glenavon | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 53.99%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 22.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.81%) and 0-2 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 1-0 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ballymena United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Ballymena United |
22.89% ( -0.06) | 23.12% ( 0.25) | 53.99% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 55.47% ( -0.92) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.24% ( -1.18) | 44.75% ( 1.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.88% ( -1.15) | 67.11% ( 1.14) |
| Dungannon Swifts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.43% ( -0.7) | 33.57% ( 0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.79% ( -0.77) | 70.21% ( 0.77) |
| Ballymena United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.49% ( -0.49) | 16.51% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.76% ( -0.89) | 46.24% ( 0.89) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Ballymena United |
| 1-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 5.95% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.16% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.28% Total : 22.89% | 1-1 @ 10.89% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 5.54% ( 0.28)2-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.11% | 0-1 @ 9.98% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 9.81% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 8.99% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 5.89% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 5.4% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.12)1-4 @ 2.65% ( -0.09)0-4 @ 2.43% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.08)1-5 @ 0.96% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.21% Total : 53.99% |
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