Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 53.99%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 22.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.81%) and 0-2 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 1-0 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ballymena United would win this match.

Result
Dungannon Swifts	Draw	Ballymena United
22.89% ( -0.06)	23.12% ( 0.25)	53.99% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 55.47% (

-0.92)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.24% (

-1.18)

44.75% (

1.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.88% (

-1.15)

67.11% (

1.14)

Dungannon Swifts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.43% (

-0.7)

33.57% (

0.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.79% (

-0.77)

70.21% (

0.77)

Ballymena United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.49% (

-0.49)

16.51% (

0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.76% (

-0.89)

46.24% (

0.89)

Score Analysis

Dungannon Swifts 22.89%

Ballymena United 53.99%

Draw 23.11%

Dungannon Swifts	Draw	Ballymena United
1-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 5.95% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.16% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.28% Total : 22.89%	1-1 @ 10.89% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 5.54% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.11%	0-1 @ 9.98% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 9.81% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.99% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 5.89% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 5.4% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 2.65% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 2.43% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.08) 1-5 @ 0.96% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.21% Total : 53.99%