SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 70.59%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 11.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.83%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.26%), while for a Newry City AFC win it was 0-1 (3.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crusaders | Draw | Newry City AFC |
70.59% ( -0.08) | 17.5% ( 0.02) | 11.91% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 51.26% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.23% ( 0.09) | 38.77% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.92% ( 0.1) | 61.08% ( -0.1) |
| Crusaders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.2% ( 0) | 9.8% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.43% ( 0.01) | 32.56% ( -0.01) |
| Newry City AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.83% ( 0.17) | 43.17% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.57% ( 0.14) | 79.43% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crusaders | Draw | Newry City AFC |
| 2-0 @ 11.41% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 9.83% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 8.84% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 7.42% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 4.31% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 2% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 3.83% Total : 70.59% | 1-1 @ 8.26% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.23% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.99% Total : 17.5% | 0-1 @ 3.55% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.29% Total : 11.91% |
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