SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 45.05%. A win for Loughgall had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Loughgall win was 0-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Loughgall |
45.05% ( 0.42) | 25.27% ( -0.14) | 29.67% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 54.58% ( 0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.19% ( 0.45) | 48.81% ( -0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.09% ( 0.41) | 70.91% ( -0.41) |
| Carrick Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.34% ( 0.38) | 21.66% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.2% ( 0.58) | 54.8% ( -0.58) |
| Loughgall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.67% ( 0.03) | 30.33% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.49% ( 0.03) | 66.51% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Loughgall |
| 1-0 @ 10.04% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.68% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.79% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.41% Total : 45.04% | 1-1 @ 11.98% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.57% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.27% | 0-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 7.15% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.13% Total : 29.68% |
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