NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 4
Apr 22, 2023 at 3pm UK
Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Carrick Rangers and Glenavon.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 46.08%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 27.92% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.38%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 1-0 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glenavon would win this match.
| Result |
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Glenavon |
27.92% ( 0.21) | 26% ( 0.02) | 46.08% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 51.21% ( 0.08) |
| 47.31% ( 0.04) | 52.69% ( -0.03) |
| 25.67% ( 0.03) | 74.33% ( -0.03) |
| 66.35% ( 0.19) | 33.64% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.7% ( 0.2) | 70.29% ( -0.2) |
| 77.17% ( -0.09) | 22.83% ( 0.1) |
