Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 41.45%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.78%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 2-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Ballymena United in this match.
