Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 70.58%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 12.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.59%) and 0-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.15%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 2-1 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cliftonville would win this match.
