Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portadown win with a probability of 43.71%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portadown win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
