Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 53.99%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 22.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result
Crusaders	Draw	Dungannon Swifts
53.99% ( 1.73)	23.23% ( -0.45)	22.78% ( -1.27)

Both teams to score 54.98% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.66% (

0.66)

45.34% (

-0.66)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.32% (

0.62)

67.68% (

-0.62)

Crusaders Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.28% (

0.87)

16.72% (

-0.87)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.38% (

1.54)

46.62% (

-1.53)

Dungannon Swifts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.01% (

-0.76)

33.98% (

0.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.34% (

-0.83)

70.66% (

0.83)

Score Analysis

Crusaders 53.99%

Dungannon Swifts 22.78%

Draw 23.22%

Crusaders	Draw	Dungannon Swifts
1-0 @ 10.16% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.26) 3-1 @ 5.85% ( 0.21) 3-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.31) 3-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.17) 4-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.2) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.12% Total : 53.99%	1-1 @ 10.96% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.22%	0-1 @ 6.13% ( -0.31) 1-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.25) 0-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.24) 1-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.2% Total : 22.78%