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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 1
Aug 13, 2022 at 3pm UK
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Crusaders
5 - 1
Dungannon

Heatley (7', 68'), Barr (37' og.), Kennedy (48', 65')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Campbell (45+2')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Dungannon Swifts.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crusaders 1-1 Basel
Thursday, July 28 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 53.99%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 22.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result
CrusadersDrawDungannon Swifts
53.99% (1.727 1.73) 23.23% (-0.452 -0.45) 22.78% (-1.274 -1.27)
Both teams to score 54.98% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.66% (0.65799999999999 0.66)45.34% (-0.656 -0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.32% (0.623 0.62)67.68% (-0.623 -0.62)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.28% (0.87 0.87)16.72% (-0.869 -0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.38% (1.536 1.54)46.62% (-1.534 -1.53)
Dungannon Swifts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.01% (-0.762 -0.76)33.98% (0.764 0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.34% (-0.833 -0.83)70.66% (0.834 0.83)
Score Analysis
    Crusaders 53.99%
    Dungannon Swifts 22.78%
    Draw 23.22%
CrusadersDrawDungannon Swifts
1-0 @ 10.16% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.81% (0.084999999999999 0.08)
2-0 @ 9.09% (0.264 0.26)
3-1 @ 5.85% (0.214 0.21)
3-0 @ 5.42% (0.307 0.31)
3-2 @ 3.16% (0.052 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.62% (0.167 0.17)
4-0 @ 2.42% (0.202 0.2)
4-2 @ 1.41% (0.062 0.06)
5-1 @ 0.94% (0.085 0.09)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 53.99%
1-1 @ 10.96% (-0.23 -0.23)
0-0 @ 5.68% (-0.161 -0.16)
2-2 @ 5.29% (-0.065 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.22%
0-1 @ 6.13% (-0.306 -0.31)
1-2 @ 5.92% (-0.247 -0.25)
0-2 @ 3.31% (-0.239 -0.24)
1-3 @ 2.13% (-0.136 -0.14)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.19% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 22.78%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Crusaders 1-1 Basel
Thursday, July 28 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Basel 2-0 Crusaders
Thursday, July 21 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Crusaders 3-1 Magpies
Thursday, July 14 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Magpies 2-1 Crusaders
Thursday, July 7 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Crusaders 1-2 Larne
Saturday, April 30 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Crusaders 3-3 Cliftonville
Saturday, April 23 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Dungannon 1-2 Ballymena
Saturday, April 30 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Dungannon 2-0 Warrenpoint
Saturday, April 23 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Portadown 0-0 Dungannon
Tuesday, April 19 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Dungannon 3-2 Glenavon
Saturday, April 16 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 1-0 Dungannon
Saturday, April 9 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Dungannon 2-4 Crusaders
Saturday, March 26 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership


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