Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Warrenpoint Town win with a probability of 40.58%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 33.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Warrenpoint Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 1-0 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
