SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 54.79%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 22.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.85%) and 0-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Glenavon win it was 1-0 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cliftonville in this match.
| Result | ||
| Glenavon | Draw | Cliftonville |
22.28% ( -0.05) | 22.93% ( 0.02) | 54.79% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 55.29% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.39% ( -0.14) | 44.6% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.03% ( -0.13) | 66.97% ( 0.13) |
| Glenavon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.96% ( -0.13) | 34.04% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.28% ( -0.14) | 70.72% ( 0.13) |
| Cliftonville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.82% ( -0.04) | 16.17% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.36% ( -0.07) | 45.63% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Glenavon | Draw | Cliftonville |
| 1-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 5.82% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 3.2% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.09% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.18% Total : 22.28% | 1-1 @ 10.8% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.92% | 0-1 @ 10.02% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.85% ( 0)0-2 @ 9.14% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 5.98% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 5.55% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.72% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.53% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 0.99% ( -0)0-5 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.4% Total : 54.78% |
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