SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Loughgall win with a probability of 47.94%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 28.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Loughgall win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Loughgall | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
47.94% ( -0.07) | 23.28% ( 0.04) | 28.78% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 60.81% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.65% ( -0.19) | 40.35% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.27% ( -0.2) | 62.72% ( 0.2) |
| Loughgall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.91% ( -0.1) | 17.08% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.73% ( -0.18) | 47.27% ( 0.18) |
| Dungannon Swifts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.34% ( -0.08) | 26.65% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.1% ( -0.11) | 61.9% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Loughgall | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
| 2-1 @ 9.4% 1-0 @ 8.05% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.54% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.19% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.45% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.09% Total : 47.94% | 1-1 @ 10.63% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.55% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.27% | 1-2 @ 7.03% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.02% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.98% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.1% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.75% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.22% Total : 28.78% |
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