SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 82.48%. A draw had a probability of 11.5% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 6.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.02%) and 4-0 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.37%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 1-2 (1.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Linfield | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
82.48% ( -0.8) | 11.49% ( 0.48) | 6.04% ( 0.32) |
| Both teams to score 48.13% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.84% ( -1.13) | 29.15% ( 1.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.83% ( -1.4) | 50.16% ( 1.4) |
| Linfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.79% ( -0.34) | 5.21% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 79.41% ( -1.03) | 20.59% ( 1.02) |
| Dungannon Swifts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.77% ( 0.07) | 49.23% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.88% ( 0.05) | 84.11% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Linfield | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
| 2-0 @ 11.19% ( 0.24) 3-0 @ 11.02% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 8.15% ( -0.2)2-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 7.81% ( 0)1-0 @ 7.57% ( 0.33)4-1 @ 5.77% ( -0.13)5-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.23)5-1 @ 3.41% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 2.37% ( -0.17)4-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.04)6-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.12)5-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.05)7-0 @ 1% ( -0.1)Other @ 3.72% Total : 82.47% | 1-1 @ 5.37% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.17)Other @ 0.75% Total : 11.49% | 1-2 @ 1.9% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.12)Other @ 2.32% Total : 6.04% |
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