Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 61.5%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 17.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 1-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Glenavon win it was 1-2 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.

Result
Larne	Draw	Glenavon
61.5% ( 0.95)	20.53% ( -0.32)	17.97% ( -0.63)

Both teams to score 56.32% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.15% (

0.45)

39.85% (

-0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.79% (

0.46)

62.21% (

-0.46)

Larne Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.51% (

0.41)

12.49% (

-0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.53% (

0.86)

38.46% (

-0.86)

Glenavon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.36% (

-0.42)

35.64% (

0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.59% (

-0.44)

72.41% (

0.44)

Score Analysis

Larne 61.5%

Glenavon 17.97%

Draw 20.53%

Larne	Draw	Glenavon
2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.63% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 9.26% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 6.89% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.56% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.47% ( 0.14) 4-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.7% Total : 61.5%	1-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.53%	1-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 4.59% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.62% Total : 17.97%