SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 49.67%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 26.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glenavon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Glenavon | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
49.67% ( 0.13) | 23.71% ( 0.07) | 26.61% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 57.51% ( -0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.08% ( -0.46) | 43.92% ( 0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.69% ( -0.45) | 66.3% ( 0.45) |
| Glenavon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.21% ( -0.13) | 17.78% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.5% ( -0.22) | 48.49% ( 0.22) |
| Dungannon Swifts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.95% ( -0.39) | 30.04% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.82% ( -0.47) | 66.17% ( 0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Glenavon | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
| 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.23% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 5.52% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.59% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.69% Total : 49.67% | 1-1 @ 11.09% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.71% | 1-2 @ 6.67% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.42% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 3.86% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.12% Total : 26.61% |
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