SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 67.06%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 12.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.64%) and 1-2 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.5%), while for a Newry City AFC win it was 1-0 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newry City AFC | Draw | Crusaders |
12.9% ( 0.2) | 20.03% ( 0.22) | 67.06% ( -0.43) |
| Both teams to score 45.8% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.35% ( -0.49) | 47.64% ( 0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.16% ( -0.45) | 69.84% ( 0.45) |
| Newry City AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.81% ( 0.03) | 47.19% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.37% ( 0.02) | 82.63% ( -0.02) |
| Crusaders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.73% ( -0.27) | 13.27% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.93% ( -0.56) | 40.07% ( 0.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newry City AFC | Draw | Crusaders |
| 1-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 3.57% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 0.9% ( 0)Other @ 1.97% Total : 12.9% | 1-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 3.6% ( 0)Other @ 0.67% Total : 20.03% | 0-2 @ 12.77% 0-1 @ 12.64% ( 0.12)1-2 @ 9.59% ( 0)0-3 @ 8.6% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 6.46% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 4.34% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 3.26% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 1.75% ( -0.05)1-5 @ 1.32% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.68% Total : 67.06% |
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