SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dungannon Swifts win with a probability of 37.53%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 36.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dungannon Swifts win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 0-1 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dungannon Swifts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
37.53% ( -0.23) | 25.83% ( 0.02) | 36.64% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 54.81% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.56% ( -0.06) | 49.44% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.52% ( -0.05) | 71.48% ( 0.06) |
| Dungannon Swifts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.29% ( -0.16) | 25.71% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.36% ( -0.21) | 60.64% ( 0.22) |
| Carrick Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.78% ( 0.1) | 26.22% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.68% ( 0.13) | 61.32% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
| 1-0 @ 9.16% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.32% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.77% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.49% Total : 37.53% | 1-1 @ 12.25% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.83% | 0-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.21% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.39% Total : 36.64% |
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