SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 55.99%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 22.64% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.97%) and 0-1 (7.86%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 2-1 (5.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Glenavon |
22.64% ( -0) | 21.37% ( 0) | 55.99% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 61.25% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.03% ( -0) | 36.97% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.85% ( -0.01) | 59.15% ( 0.01) |
| Dungannon Swifts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.55% ( -0.01) | 29.45% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.54% ( -0.01) | 65.45% ( 0.01) |
| Glenavon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.83% ( 0) | 13.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.13% | 39.87% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Glenavon |
| 2-1 @ 5.88% ( -0) 1-0 @ 4.74% 2-0 @ 2.9% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.39% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.13% Total : 22.64% | 1-1 @ 9.61% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.88% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 0.28% Total : 21.37% | 1-2 @ 9.74% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.97% ( 0)0-1 @ 7.86% ( 0)1-3 @ 6.58% 0-3 @ 5.39% ( 0)2-3 @ 4.02% ( -0)1-4 @ 3.34% 0-4 @ 2.73% 2-4 @ 2.04% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.35% 0-5 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 3.85% Total : 55.99% |
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