Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 60.6%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 18.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.24%) and 0-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.52%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 2-1 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
