Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 60.44%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 19.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.06%) and 0-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for a Glenavon win it was 2-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cliftonville would win this match.
Result | ||
Glenavon | Draw | Cliftonville |
19.01% ( 0.05) | 20.55% ( -0) | 60.44% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 58.28% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.78% ( 0.09) | 38.21% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.51% ( 0.09) | 60.49% ( -0.09) |
Glenavon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.44% ( 0.1) | 33.55% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.8% ( 0.11) | 70.19% ( -0.11) |
Cliftonville Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.72% ( 0.01) | 12.28% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.96% ( 0.03) | 38.03% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Glenavon | Draw | Cliftonville |
2-1 @ 5.15% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 2.46% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.06% Total : 19.01% | 1-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 20.55% | 1-2 @ 9.9% ( -0) 0-2 @ 9.06% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 6.92% ( 0) 0-3 @ 6.33% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.78% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 3.63% ( 0) 0-4 @ 3.32% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.98% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.52% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.39% ( -0) Other @ 3.97% Total : 60.44% |
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