SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 54.56%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 21.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.84%) and 1-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-0 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Cliftonville |
21.64% ( -0.42) | 23.79% ( -0.29) | 54.56% ( 0.71) |
| Both teams to score 51.66% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.99% ( 0.71) | 49% ( -0.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.91% ( 0.64) | 71.09% ( -0.64) |
| Carrick Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.89% ( -0.01) | 37.11% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.1% ( -0.01) | 73.9% ( 0.01) |
| Cliftonville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.15% ( 0.53) | 17.85% ( -0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.39% ( 0.9) | 48.6% ( -0.9) |
| Score Analysis |
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Cliftonville |
| 1-0 @ 6.57% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 5.61% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 3.25% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.69% Total : 21.64% | 1-1 @ 11.31% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 6.62% ( -0.19)2-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.79% | 0-1 @ 11.41% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 9.84% ( 0.05)1-2 @ 9.75% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 5.65% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 5.6% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.06)0-4 @ 2.43% ( 0.09)1-4 @ 2.41% ( 0.09)2-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.5% Total : 54.56% |
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