Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 70.72%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 11.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.12%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.53%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 1-0 (3.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.
Result | ||
Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Linfield |
11.34% ( -0.03) | 17.93% ( -0.02) | 70.72% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 47.78% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.65% ( -0.01) | 42.35% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.25% ( -0.01) | 64.75% ( 0.01) |
Dungannon Swifts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.52% ( -0.06) | 46.47% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.91% ( -0.04) | 82.08% ( 0.04) |
Linfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.27% ( 0.01) | 10.73% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.32% ( 0.02) | 34.67% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Linfield |
1-0 @ 3.82% ( -0) 2-1 @ 3.27% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 1.46% ( -0) 3-2 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 1.86% Total : 11.34% | 1-1 @ 8.53% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.98% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.77% Total : 17.93% | 0-2 @ 12.42% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 11.12% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.52% ( -0) 0-3 @ 9.24% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 7.08% ( -0) 0-4 @ 5.16% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 3.95% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.71% ( -0) 0-5 @ 2.3% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.77% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.52% ( -0) Other @ 3.92% Total : 70.71% |
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