Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 57.31%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 19.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.53%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 1-0 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
