Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 62.84%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Legia Warsaw had a probability of 17.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.16%) and 1-0 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.96%), while for a Legia Warsaw win it was 1-2 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
Result | ||
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Legia Warsaw |
62.84% (![]() | 19.66% (![]() | 17.5% (![]() |
Both teams to score 58.52% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.46% (![]() | 36.54% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.31% (![]() | 58.69% (![]() |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.88% (![]() | 11.12% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.45% (![]() | 35.54% (![]() |
Legia Warsaw Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.84% (![]() | 34.16% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.15% (![]() | 70.85% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Legia Warsaw |
2-1 @ 9.84% 2-0 @ 9.16% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 8.34% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.21% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.71% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.96% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.87% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.68% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.13% 5-1 @ 1.74% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.62% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.66% Total : 62.84% | 1-1 @ 8.96% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.29% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.8% 3-3 @ 1.39% ( ![]() Other @ 0.22% Total : 19.66% | 1-2 @ 4.81% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.08% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.19% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.89% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.72% ( ![]() Other @ 2.8% Total : 17.5% |
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