SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 76.25%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 9.18%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.64%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.77%), while for a Brentford win it was 1-2 (2.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal | Draw | Brentford |
76.25% ( 0.01) | 14.58% ( -0.03) | 9.18% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.03% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.35% ( 0.22) | 32.65% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.68% ( 0.25) | 54.32% ( -0.25) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.93% ( 0.06) | 7.07% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.19% ( 0.13) | 25.81% ( -0.13) |
| Brentford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.99% ( 0.2) | 44.01% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.87% ( 0.17) | 80.13% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal | Draw | Brentford |
| 2-0 @ 10.92% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 9.64% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 8.25% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 6.39% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 5.24% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 3.38% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 2.78% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.52% Total : 76.25% | 1-1 @ 6.77% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.02% Total : 14.58% | 1-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 2.56% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.05% 2-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.79% Total : 9.18% |
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