SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 57.72%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 20.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.13%) and 0-2 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Brentford win it was 2-1 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Manchester City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Manchester City.
| Result | ||
| Brentford | Draw | Manchester City |
20.67% ( -0.12) | 21.61% ( -0.04) | 57.72% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 57.42% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.33% ( 0) | 40.67% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.94% ( 0) | 63.05% ( -0.01) |
| Brentford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.67% ( -0.11) | 33.33% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.05% ( -0.12) | 69.94% ( 0.12) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.13% ( 0.05) | 13.87% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.73% ( 0.1) | 41.26% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brentford | Draw | Manchester City |
| 2-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 5.08% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 2.79% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.02% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.26% Total : 20.67% | 1-1 @ 10.03% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.62% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.6% | 1-2 @ 9.91% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 9.02% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 6.53% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 5.94% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.59% ( -0)1-4 @ 3.22% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 2.93% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.77% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.24% Total : 57.72% |
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