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Premier League | Gameweek 29
Mar 13, 2022 at 4.30pm UK
Emirates Stadium
LL

Arsenal
2 - 0
Leicester

Partey (11'), Lacazette (59' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)

Iheanacho (30'), Soyuncu (58'), Daka (80')

We said: Arsenal 3-1 Leicester City

Leicester could very well have conceded at least one or two to Leeds on another day, and a fatigued Foxes without Vardy facing his favourite opponent cannot expect much at the fortress that is the Emirates. Smith Rowe's expected return will only add to Arsenal's cutting edge - not that they needed it against Watford - and Arteta's in-form crop should prevail with minimal difficulty. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 64.37%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Leicester City had a probability of 15.86%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 1-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.27%), while for a Leicester City win it was 1-2 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Arsenal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Arsenal.

Result
ArsenalDrawLeicester City
64.37%19.77%15.86%
Both teams to score 54.35%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.76%40.24%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.39%62.61%
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.2%11.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.97%37.03%
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.63%38.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.87%75.13%
Score Analysis
    Arsenal 64.37%
    Leicester City 15.86%
    Draw 19.77%
ArsenalDrawLeicester City
2-0 @ 10.34%
2-1 @ 9.91%
1-0 @ 9.68%
3-0 @ 7.37%
3-1 @ 7.06%
4-0 @ 3.93%
4-1 @ 3.77%
3-2 @ 3.38%
4-2 @ 1.81%
5-0 @ 1.68%
5-1 @ 1.61%
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 64.37%
1-1 @ 9.27%
2-2 @ 4.74%
0-0 @ 4.53%
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 19.77%
1-2 @ 4.44%
0-1 @ 4.34%
0-2 @ 2.08%
2-3 @ 1.52%
1-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 15.86%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Watford 2-3 Arsenal
Sunday, March 6 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 2-1 Wolves
Thursday, February 24 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 2-1 Brentford
Saturday, February 19 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wolves 0-1 Arsenal
Thursday, February 10 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 0-0 Burnley
Sunday, January 23 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 0-2 Liverpool
Thursday, January 20 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Leicester 2-0 Rennes
Thursday, March 10 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Leicester 1-0 Leeds
Saturday, March 5 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Burnley 0-2 Leicester
Tuesday, March 1 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Randers 1-3 Leicester
Thursday, February 24 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Wolves 2-1 Leicester
Sunday, February 20 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leicester 4-1 Randers
Thursday, February 17 at 8pm in Europa Conference League


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