SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 44.36%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 31.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United | Draw | Arsenal |
44.36% ( 0.44) | 24.55% ( 0.08) | 31.09% ( -0.52) |
| Both teams to score 57.78% ( -0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.03% ( -0.6) | 44.97% ( 0.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.68% ( -0.58) | 67.32% ( 0.58) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.62% ( -0.05) | 20.38% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.21% ( -0.08) | 52.79% ( 0.09) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.56% ( -0.63) | 27.44% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.08% ( -0.82) | 62.92% ( 0.83) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle United | Draw | Arsenal |
| 2-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.21)2-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 4.85% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.93% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.84% Total : 44.36% | 1-1 @ 11.5% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.55% | 1-2 @ 7.44% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 7.23% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.94% Total : 31.09% |
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