SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 40.49%. A win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 34.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Aston Villa |
34.65% ( 2.1) | 24.86% ( -0.15) | 40.49% ( -1.95) |
| Both teams to score 57.95% ( 1.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.71% ( 1.23) | 45.28% ( -1.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.37% ( 1.17) | 67.62% ( -1.17) |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.59% ( 1.85) | 25.41% ( -1.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.78% ( 2.47) | 60.22% ( -2.48) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.69% ( -0.41) | 22.31% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.22% ( -0.61) | 55.77% ( 0.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 2-1 @ 7.98% ( 0.32) 1-0 @ 7.77% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.28)3-1 @ 3.65% ( 0.33)3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.22)3-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.25)4-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.17)4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.12)Other @ 2.59% Total : 34.65% | 1-1 @ 11.65% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.17)0-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.3)3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.86% | 1-2 @ 8.74% ( -0.21) 0-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.57)0-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.51)1-3 @ 4.37% ( -0.16)0-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.3)2-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.13)2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.35% Total : 40.49% |
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