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Premier League | Gameweek 28
Mar 10, 2024 at 1pm UK
Villa Park
SL

Aston Villa
0 - 4
Spurs


McGinn (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Maddison (50'), Johnson (53'), Heung-min (90+1'), Werner (90+4')
Sarr (19'), Dragusin (61')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ajax 0-0 Aston Villa
Thursday, March 7 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 53.4%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 26.1% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.56%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 1-2 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
Aston VillaDrawTottenham Hotspur
53.4% (0.59500000000001 0.6) 20.5% (0.038 0.04) 26.1% (-0.634 -0.63)
Both teams to score 68.82% (-0.80200000000001 -0.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.09% (-0.77300000000001 -0.77)28.91% (0.774 0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.13% (-0.956 -0.96)49.86% (0.955 0.95)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.75% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)11.24% (0.097 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.18% (-0.214 -0.21)35.82% (0.215 0.21)
Tottenham Hotspur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.53% (-0.818 -0.82)22.46% (0.818 0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.99% (-1.236 -1.24)56.01% (1.236 1.24)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 53.4%
    Tottenham Hotspur 26.1%
    Draw 20.5%
Aston VillaDrawTottenham Hotspur
2-1 @ 9.01% (0.119 0.12)
3-1 @ 6.56% (0.061 0.06)
2-0 @ 6.03% (0.224 0.22)
1-0 @ 5.52% (0.226 0.23)
3-2 @ 4.9% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-0 @ 4.39% (0.146 0.15)
4-1 @ 3.58% (0.019 0.02)
4-2 @ 2.68% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-0 @ 2.4% (0.071 0.07)
5-1 @ 1.57% (0.002 0)
4-3 @ 1.33% (-0.059 -0.06)
5-2 @ 1.17% (-0.028 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.05% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 53.4%
1-1 @ 8.24% (0.141 0.14)
2-2 @ 6.73% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-0 @ 2.53% (0.113 0.11)
3-3 @ 2.44% (-0.099 -0.1)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 20.5%
1-2 @ 6.16% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-1 @ 3.77% (0.079 0.08)
2-3 @ 3.35% (-0.122 -0.12)
1-3 @ 3.06% (-0.099 -0.1)
0-2 @ 2.82% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.4% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.25% (-0.077 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.14% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-4 @ 0.91% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 26.1%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Ajax 0-0 Aston Villa
Thursday, March 7 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Luton 2-3 Aston Villa
Saturday, March 2 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 4-2 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Fulham 1-2 Aston Villa
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-2 Man Utd
Sunday, February 11 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-3 Chelsea
Wednesday, February 7 at 8pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Spurs 3-1 Crystal Palace
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Spurs 1-2 Wolves
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Spurs 2-1 Brighton
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Everton 2-2 Spurs
Saturday, February 3 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Spurs 3-2 Brentford
Wednesday, January 31 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Spurs 0-1 Man City
Friday, January 26 at 8pm in FA Cup


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