SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 53.4%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 26.1% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.56%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 1-2 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa | Draw | Tottenham Hotspur |
53.4% ( 0.6) | 20.5% ( 0.04) | 26.1% ( -0.63) |
| Both teams to score 68.82% ( -0.8) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.09% ( -0.77) | 28.91% ( 0.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.13% ( -0.96) | 49.86% ( 0.95) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.75% ( -0.1) | 11.24% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.18% ( -0.21) | 35.82% ( 0.21) |
| Tottenham Hotspur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.53% ( -0.82) | 22.46% ( 0.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.99% ( -1.24) | 56.01% ( 1.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aston Villa | Draw | Tottenham Hotspur |
| 2-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 6.56% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.22)1-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.23)3-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.15)4-1 @ 3.58% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.07)5-1 @ 1.57% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.06)5-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.21% Total : 53.4% | 1-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 6.73% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.57% Total : 20.5% | 1-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 3.77% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.07)3-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.24% Total : 26.1% |
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