SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 39.62%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 36.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.76%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bournemouth | Draw | Aston Villa |
39.62% ( -0.02) | 24.36% ( -0.06) | 36.01% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 60% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.28% ( 0.29) | 42.72% ( -0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.88% ( 0.29) | 65.12% ( -0.29) |
| Bournemouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.39% ( 0.11) | 21.61% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.28% ( 0.18) | 54.71% ( -0.18) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.54% ( 0.17) | 23.45% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.54% ( 0.25) | 57.46% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bournemouth | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 2-1 @ 8.63% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.76% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.41% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.19% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.04% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 2.58% Total : 39.62% | 1-1 @ 11.25% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.35% | 1-2 @ 8.17% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.35% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.95% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.16% Total : 36.01% |
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