Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 53.25%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 25.21% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.12%) and 1-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 1-2 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.
Result | ||
Brentford | Draw | Bournemouth |
53.25% ( 0) | 21.53% ( 0) | 25.21% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 63.88% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.09% ( -0.02) | 34.91% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.11% ( -0.02) | 56.89% ( 0.02) |
Brentford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.69% ( -0) | 13.31% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.85% ( -0.01) | 40.14% ( 0.01) |
Bournemouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.69% ( -0.02) | 26.31% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.56% ( -0.02) | 61.44% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Brentford | Draw | Bournemouth |
2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.12% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.06% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.39% 3-0 @ 4.79% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.27% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.22% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.41% 4-2 @ 2.15% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.3% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.97% 4-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.09% Total : 53.26% | 1-1 @ 9.43% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.35% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.5% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.9% ( -0) Other @ 0.36% Total : 21.53% | 1-2 @ 6.29% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.67% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.12% 2-3 @ 2.83% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.8% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.39% 2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.23% Total : 25.21% |
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