Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 55.8%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 21.92%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Brentford win it was 1-2 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
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